Design and Application of Power Grid Security Risk Assessment and Hierarchical Control System in Natural Disasters

Kang Chang, Chen Yu, Shaofeng Liu, Yan Huang, Wei Li
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Abstract

Due to the failure uncertainty caused by natural disasters, it is of importance to expand the security analysis of power system based on deterministic rules to the risk analysis, to expand traditional security margin control based on deterministic scenarios to risk control. In this paper, the characteristics of clustered faults in natural disasters are analyzed firstly. Secondly, the security risk index system of power grid in natural disasters is designed from six dimensions, and the normalized method of multi-dimensional security risk index is proposed. Further, the risk hierarchical decision-making technology of power grid based on the coordination between risk and cost is proposed. On this basis, the architecture of risk assessment and preventive control system based on provincial and regional coordination is designed. Finally, The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by a practical operation case of a provincial power grid.
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自然灾害下电网安全风险评估与分级控制系统的设计与应用
由于自然灾害造成的故障不确定性,将基于确定性规则的电力系统安全分析扩展到风险分析,将基于确定性场景的传统安全裕度控制扩展到风险控制具有重要意义。本文首先分析了自然灾害中聚集性断层的特征。其次,从六个维度设计了自然灾害下电网安全风险指标体系,提出了多维安全风险指标的归一化方法;在此基础上,提出了基于风险与成本协调的电网风险分级决策技术。在此基础上,设计了基于省区协调的风险评估与防控体系架构。最后,通过某省级电网的实际运行案例验证了该方法的有效性。
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