Layered Exchange Rate Prediction Model Based on LSTM

Chenhe Hu, Kai Zheng, L. Liu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The prediction of exchange rate is very important for both countries and enterprises. At present, the latest prediction technology is training BP neural network through the recent exchange rate data, and it takes effect in some degree. In view of the limitations of the existing BP neural network, an improved hierarchical network model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is proposed. The model increases the time depth of the data, and uses attention mechanism to process the historical data of different time levels, which makes the prediction ability of the model stronger. Taking the exchange rate of US dollar / rupee as an example, by comparing with the basic LSTM model and BP neural network, it is proved that the proposed model has a better effect.
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基于LSTM的分层汇率预测模型
汇率的预测对国家和企业都是非常重要的。目前,最新的预测技术是通过近期汇率数据训练BP神经网络,并取得了一定的效果。针对现有BP神经网络的局限性,提出一种改进的基于长短期记忆(LSTM)的分层网络模型。该模型增加了数据的时间深度,并利用注意机制对不同时间层次的历史数据进行处理,使模型的预测能力更强。以美元兑卢比汇率为例,通过与基本LSTM模型和BP神经网络进行比较,证明所提模型具有较好的效果。
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