Tropical Diseases Web-based Expert System Using Certainty Factor

Novi Yanti, R. Kurniawan, S. Abdullah, M. Nazri, Wilda Hunafa, Mardhiyah Kharismayanda
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Indonesia is in the area of equatorial latitude which is known as a tropical climate country. On the other hand, many Indonesian people are prone to suffering typical tropical disease such as typhoid, dengue and malaria. With the motivation to curb disease, they should be informed about awareness, treatment and knowledge regarding to tropical diseases such as the symptoms, causes and early prevention. Web-based expert system is one well-known solution, which can access online via internet. Usually, traditional inference engine is possible to make misdiagnosis in medical domain. In addition, modern inference e.g. Bayes theory are complicated plus insufficient to substitute complete human brain reasoning activities. Therefore, this study aims to hybridize Forward Chaining and Certainty Factor method for diagnosing common tropical diseases suffered by Indonesian people. We have used ten types of tropical disease namely typhoid, dengue, chingkungunya fever, malaria, chicken pox, tuberculosis, diphtheria, pertussis, SARS and elephantiasis along with 38 symptoms for representing every disease into a knowledge base. We compare the results between expert’s diagnosis and our proposed web-based expert system after running ten times consecutively. We can conclude that hybridization of Forward Chaining and Certainty Factor methods during developing the web-based expert system, can significantly diagnose tropical diseases properly.
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基于确定性因子的热带病网络专家系统
印度尼西亚位于赤道纬度地区,被称为热带气候国家。另一方面,许多印尼人容易患上典型的热带疾病,如伤寒、登革热和疟疾。在遏制疾病的动机下,应使他们了解对热带病的认识、治疗和知识,例如症状、病因和早期预防。基于web的专家系统是一种众所周知的解决方案,可以通过internet在线访问。通常,传统的推理引擎在医学领域存在误诊的可能。此外,现代推理,如贝叶斯理论是复杂的,而且不足以取代完整的人脑推理活动。因此,本研究旨在将正链法和确定性因子法杂交用于印尼人常见热带病的诊断。我们使用了十种热带病,即伤寒、登革热、青孔肯雅热、疟疾、水痘、结核病、白喉、百日咳、非典型肺炎和象皮病,以及38种症状,将每种疾病纳入知识库。在连续运行10次后,将专家诊断结果与我们提出的基于web的专家系统进行比较。结果表明,在开发基于网络的专家系统时,将前向链法和确定性因子法相结合,可以有效地诊断热带病。
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