Legalization and the Economic Status of Immigrants

S. Barcellos
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引用次数: 29

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of legalization on the economic outcomes of the legalized population. It uses a natural experiment caused by the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act (IRCA) which gave amnesty for undocumented immigrants who could prove continuous residence in the U.S. after January 1, 1982. The arbitrary cutoff date on the eligibility criteria causes a discontinuity in the relationship between the year of immigration and the probability of being legal. This paper uses this discontinuity to identify the causal impacts of legalization on immigrants’ outcomes. Regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences estimates show that immigrants eligible for the policy have a significantly higher probability of being naturalized citizens than those who were not. Legalization is also found to have a positive and significant effect on wages, a negative effect on the probability of working in a traditionally illegal occupation, and no significant effect on geographical mobility. The analysis for different demographic groups confirms such conclusions and shows that the estimated effects of legalization are larger for low-educated Latin American immigrants, the group that was disproportionably affected by the policy.
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移民的合法化和经济地位
本文考察了合法化对合法化人口经济产出的影响。该研究采用了1986年《移民改革与控制法案》(IRCA)引发的一项自然实验,该法案对能够证明在1982年1月1日之后在美国持续居住的无证移民给予特赦。资格标准的任意截止日期导致移民年份与合法可能性之间关系的不连续性。本文利用这种不连续性来确定合法化对移民结果的因果影响。回归不连续和差中差估计表明,符合该政策的移民成为入籍公民的可能性明显高于那些没有入籍的移民。研究还发现,合法化对工资有积极而显著的影响,对从事传统非法职业的可能性有负面影响,对地域流动性没有显著影响。对不同人口群体的分析证实了这样的结论,并表明合法化对受教育程度较低的拉丁美洲移民的估计影响更大,这一群体受到该政策的不成比例的影响。
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