Role of Market Microstructure in Price Convergence: A Meta Analysis

Maaz Javed, Saud Ahmad
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Abstract

This study aims to revisit the assumptions of economic theory that lead to the predictions of competitive equilibrium theory. Extensive work has already been done to answer how well these assumptions of microeconomic theory approximate the real-world market. In this context, two kinds of tools can be found in the literature that tries to answer this question. One is experimental economics (EE) where individuals are involved in a simplified market that mirrors the real-world markets. Human behavior is observed here under an alternating set of rules. The second tool is agent-based Modeling (ABM) which approximates the real-world markets with artificial agents where every agent possesses unique characteristics and the market comprises a diverse set of decision rules. In ABM, computer simulations imitate human behavior. Our results, however, state that with Zero Intelligence agents, the market is not even closer to the level of prediction of a theoretical competitive market. It also makes sense as random number generations should not lead the market to a level of efficiency higher than human agents and we cannot rule out the importance of rationality possessed by humans to bring more efficient results than ZI agents with no rationality.
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市场微观结构在价格趋同中的作用:一个元分析
本研究旨在重新审视导致竞争均衡理论预测的经济理论假设。人们已经做了大量的工作来回答这些微观经济理论的假设在多大程度上近似于现实世界的市场。在这种情况下,可以在试图回答这个问题的文献中找到两种工具。一种是实验经济学(EE),其中个人参与反映现实世界市场的简化市场。人类的行为是在一套交替的规则下观察到的。第二种工具是基于智能体的建模(ABM),它用人工智能体逼近现实世界的市场,其中每个智能体都具有独特的特征,市场由一组不同的决策规则组成。在ABM中,计算机模拟模仿人类行为。然而,我们的结果表明,在零智能代理的情况下,市场甚至不接近理论竞争市场的预测水平。这也是有道理的,因为随机数代不应该使市场达到比人类代理更高的效率水平,我们不能排除人类拥有的理性对带来比没有理性的ZI代理更有效的结果的重要性。
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