Effective Crop Yield Prediction Using Gradient Boosting To Improve Agricultural Outcomes

Abstract

Crop production forecasting is a huge challenge nowadays, resulting in inaccurate results such as food shortages, economic instability, inefficient resource allocation, environmental impact, and lower farmer profitability. Our proposed machine-learning algorithm forecasting yield can help address these difficulties and enhance agricultural outcomes. Crop yield prediction is used to estimate the potential harvest of crops, providing valuable information to farmers, policymakers, and agribusinesses for planning, resource management, and making informed crop production decisions. It helps to improve food security, reduce food waste, and increase the efficiency of food production. Gradient Boosting Agricultural Yield Prediction is a machine learning approach that employs decision trees and gradient descent optimization to create accurate crop yield predictions. This approach and strategy are useful in predicting crop yields. They can assist farmers and agricultural organizations in making better-educated planting, harvesting, and resource allocation decisions. The results of crop yield prediction based on gradient boosting with an accuracy rate of 87.2%, precision of0.84, recall ofO.90, and F1-Score of0.87 indicate that the model is making accurate predictions about crop yields with a good balance of precision and recall. Our work suggests that the model performs efficiently and makes accurate predictions for crop yields. It increases crop production prediction, which improves decision-making, increases efficiency, effectively allocates resources, supports planning, and reduces agriculture’s environmental impact. It has a tremendous impact on the agriculture sector because it promotes sustainability, reduces waste, and improves overall performance.