Globalization and the Industrial Sector Performance: The Nigeria Experience

Ebele S. Nwokoye, S. M. Chukwuka, Akpoghelie Oghenekome Emmanuel, Ebuwa Emmanuel Ikemefuna
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Abstract

Globalization is said to be a hallmark for modern economic growth and development. Since 1970, the volume of world trade has grown by around 7% yearly. The Nigerian industrial sector after experiencing boom in the first two decades after Nigeria’s independence, has suffered from low productivity afterwards. Therefore, this study examined the impact of globalization on Nigeria industrial sector performance from 1986 - 2017. The study utilized secondary data from the Central Bank Statistical Bulletin (CBN), and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The data were analyzed using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Error Correction Model, ADF Unit root test, Johansen Co-integration test, Cholesky variance decomposition test. The findings of this study show that “free-trade” which came as a result of globalization has a not impacted Nigeria industrial output enough to trigger economic growth and also, that Nigeria depends so much on imported products which have made the industrial sector weak and unable to compete with her foreign counterparts. The study also revealed that globalization has led to the stagnation of Nigeria’s Manufacturing index. This implies that the cost of globalization for Nigeria have outweighed its benefits, hence; the study concluded that globalization has done more harm than good to Nigerian economy. The study recommends that Nigeria should put in place an industrial policy which should create enabling business environment within the country by providing incentives to manufacturers, ensuring regular and uninterrupted power supply as well as promoting agriculture.
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全球化与工业部门绩效:尼日利亚的经验
全球化被认为是现代经济增长和发展的标志。自1970年以来,世界贸易量以每年7%左右的速度增长。尼日利亚工业部门在独立后的头20年里经历了繁荣,但此后一直受到低生产率的困扰。因此,本研究考察了1986年至2017年全球化对尼日利亚工业部门绩效的影响。该研究使用了来自中央银行统计公报(CBN)和国家统计局(NBS)的二手数据。采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)、误差修正模型、ADF单位根检验、Johansen协整检验、Cholesky方差分解检验对数据进行分析。本研究的结果表明,全球化带来的“自由贸易”并没有对尼日利亚的工业产出产生足够的影响,不足以引发经济增长,而且,尼日利亚非常依赖进口产品,这使得工业部门薄弱,无法与外国同行竞争。该研究还显示,全球化导致尼日利亚制造业指数停滞不前。这意味着全球化给尼日利亚带来的成本超过了收益,因此;该研究得出结论,全球化对尼日利亚经济弊大于利。该研究建议尼日利亚应该制定一项工业政策,通过向制造商提供激励、确保定期和不间断的电力供应以及促进农业,在国内创造有利的商业环境。
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