A DT Machine Learning-Based Satellite Orbit Prediction for IoT Applications

Xinchen Xu, Hong Wen, Huan-huan Song, Yingwei Zhao
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Abstract

Satellite orbit prediction has important applications in the field of space situation awareness, such as space collision warning and observation scheduling. The expansion of space information network challenges the low delay, high-accuracy transmission and real-time response of satellite orbit prediction tasks. The traditional orbit prediction process is affected by the measurement error, the estimation error, the unmodeled orbit perturbation and other factors, resulting in low accuracy orbit prediction results. In order to meet the requirements of high accuracy requirements, we built a satellite digital twin system based on the Docker container to predict, optimize and control the satellite orbit status in low consumption. The proposed digital twin system uses the container technology to build each module, which makes the updating of the orbit prediction model more convenient. In addition, in the designed digital twin system, we present an orbit error prediction model based on machine learning. Compared with the traditional physical dynamic model, the proposed machine learning model can effectively correct the error value of orbit prediction and improve the accuracy of orbit prediction. Finally, the validity of the corresponding model is verified in the simulation environment.
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基于DT机器学习的物联网卫星轨道预测
卫星轨道预测在空间碰撞预警、观测调度等空间态势感知领域有着重要的应用。空间信息网络的扩展对卫星轨道预测任务的低延迟、高精度传输和实时响应提出了挑战。传统的轨道预测过程受到测量误差、估计误差、未建模轨道摄动等因素的影响,导致轨道预测结果精度较低。为满足高精度要求,构建了基于Docker容器的卫星数字孪生系统,实现了低耗下卫星轨道状态的预测、优化和控制。提出的数字孪生系统采用容器技术构建各模块,使轨道预测模型的更新更加方便。此外,在设计的数字双星系统中,提出了一种基于机器学习的轨道误差预测模型。与传统的物理动力学模型相比,所提出的机器学习模型可以有效地修正轨道预测的误差值,提高轨道预测的精度。最后,在仿真环境中验证了相应模型的有效性。
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