Is aquaculture production by small-scale farmers profitable in Zambia?

Thelma Namonje-Kapembwa, P. Samboko
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

The current and anticipated demographic changes worldwide are expected to increase fish and other animal protein consumption. Capture fisheries alone cannot meet these requirements. Aquaculture offers a way out if it can further be developed. However, in most developing countries, aquaculture is still in its infancy and the evidence on the industry is quite thin. We assess the profitability of small-scale aquaculture production in Zambia using primary data collected through a structured questionnaire that was supplemented with focus group discussions with individual fish farmers. The analysis combined descriptive statistics, enterprise budgets, and financial analysis tools. The profitability of the aquaculture venture was determined using the indicators of investment returns including, net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR). The results from the profitability analysis show positive net revenue, NPV and IRR. The Benefit-Cost Ratio is also greater than one, implying that investment in aquaculture production is a profitable and viable business venture for small-scale farmers. The results reveal that over the useful life of the ponds, which is assumed to be 10 years, the estimated NPV is 17,524.13 ZMW and the IRR is 42.38%, measured at the discount rate of 15%. The positive NPV implies that the aquaculture enterprise is feasible and profitable. Key words: Aquaculture, profitability, Zambia
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在赞比亚,小规模养殖户的水产养殖是否有利可图?
目前和预期的全球人口变化预计将增加鱼类和其他动物蛋白的消费量。单靠捕捞渔业无法满足这些要求。水产养殖如果能够进一步发展,将提供一条出路。然而,在大多数发展中国家,水产养殖仍处于起步阶段,有关该产业的证据相当薄弱。我们评估了赞比亚小规模水产养殖生产的盈利能力,使用了通过结构化问卷收集的原始数据,并辅以与个体养鱼户的焦点小组讨论。该分析结合了描述性统计、企业预算和财务分析工具。利用净现值(NPV)、内部收益率(IRR)和效益成本比(BCR)等投资回报指标确定水产养殖企业的盈利能力。盈利能力分析的结果显示净收入、净现值和内部收益率为正。收益成本比也大于1,这意味着对水产养殖生产的投资对小规模养殖户来说是一项有利可图且可行的商业投资。结果表明,在10年的使用年限内,以15%的折现率计算,估算的净现值为17524.13 ZMW, IRR为42.38%。NPV为正,说明养殖企业是可行的、有利可图的。关键词:水产养殖,盈利能力,赞比亚
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