Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis to Identify Global and Local Importance Weights of Decision Criteria

Jakub Wiȩckowski, Bartłomiej Kizielewicz, B. Paradowski, A. Shekhovtsov, W. Sałabun
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

One of the main challenges in the Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) field is how we can identify criteria weights correctly. However, some MCDA methods do not use an explicitly defined vector of criterion weights, leaving the decision-maker lacking knowledge in this area. This is the motivation for our research because, in that case, a decision-maker cannot indicate a detailed justification for the proposed results. In this paper, we focus on the problem of identifying criterion weights in multi-criteria problems. Based on the proposed Characteristic Object Method (COMET) model, we used linear regression to determine the global and local criterion weights in the given situation. The work was directed toward a practical problem, i.e., evaluating Formula One drivers’ performances in races in the 2021 season. The use of the linear regression model allowed for identifying the criterion weights. Thanks to that, the expert using the system based on the COMET method can be equipped with the missing knowledge about the significance of the criteria. The local identification allowed us to establish how small input parameter changes affect the final result. However, the local weights are still highly correlated with global weights. The proposed approach to identifying weights proved to be an effective tool that can be used to fill in the missing knowledge that the expert can use to justify the results in detail. Moreover, weights identified in that way seem to be more reliable than in the classical approach, where we know only global weights. From the research it can be concluded, that the identified global and local weights importance provide highly similar results, while the former one provides more detailed information for the expert. Furthermore, the proposed approach can be used as a support tool in the practical problem as it guarantees additional data for the decision-maker.
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多准则决策分析在决策准则全局和局部重要性权重识别中的应用
多标准决策分析(MCDA)领域的主要挑战之一是如何正确地识别标准权重。然而,一些MCDA方法没有使用明确定义的标准权重向量,使得决策者缺乏这方面的知识。这是我们研究的动机,因为在这种情况下,决策者不能为提议的结果指出详细的理由。本文主要研究多准则问题中准则权值的识别问题。在提出的特征目标方法(COMET)模型的基础上,采用线性回归方法确定给定情况下的全局和局部准则权重。这项工作是针对一个实际问题,即评估f1车手在2021赛季的比赛中的表现。使用线性回归模型可以确定标准权重。因此,使用基于COMET方法的系统的专家可以补充关于标准重要性的缺失知识。局部识别使我们能够确定小的输入参数变化如何影响最终结果。然而,局部权重仍然与全局权重高度相关。所提出的识别权重的方法被证明是一种有效的工具,可以用来填补专家可以用来详细证明结果的缺失知识。此外,以这种方式确定的权重似乎比我们只知道全局权重的经典方法更可靠。研究表明,全局权重重要性和局部权重重要性的识别结果非常相似,而前者为专家提供了更详细的信息。此外,该方法可以作为实际问题的支持工具,因为它为决策者提供了额外的数据。
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