The assessment of the intra-annual runoff distribution of the northern slope Zhetysu Alatau rivers

S. Isaldaeva, Zh. Raymbekova, S. Alimkulov
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Abstract

Zhetysu Alatau rivers The article presents the results of an assessment of the intra-annual runoff distribution of the northern slope Zhetysu Alatau rivers. Based on the data of recent years, the average monthly flow of rivers for different years of water content has been clarified, and their changes relative to earlier assessments are shown.The runoff series data of the hydrometeorological service network contain a large number of gaps in observations, in connection with that the hydrological series were reconstructed using the analogy and ratio method. As a validity control of the reconstruction of the series, the root-mean-square errors of the reconstructed series of monthly averages were calculated. To assess the intra-annual runoff distribution of the northern slope Zhetysu Alatau rivers, histograms of the distribution of runoff by months and seasons (as a percentage of the annual) were constructed for four water content groups: high-water, medium, low-water and very low-water for the period 1965-2019. A comparative analysis of the obtained results with the results of previous works, in particular, with the data of «Surface Water Resources of the USSR», where the average periods of the water regime phases are given according to data for 1930-1965 was carried out. The results of the analysis of indicators of the intra-annual runoff distribution in the region under consideration made it possible to identify characteristic features in runoff formation, changes relative to earlier assessments.
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浙苏河北坡年径流分布的评价
本文介绍了浙苏阿拉托河北坡年径流分布的评价结果。根据近年来的数据,澄清了不同含水率年份的河流月平均流量,并显示了其相对于早期评估的变化。水文气象服务网径流序列数据存在大量观测空白,因此采用类比比法重建水文序列。作为序列重建的有效性控制,计算了重建的月平均序列的均方根误差。为了评估北坡浙津阿拉托河的年内径流分布,构建了1965-2019年高水位、中水位、低水位和极低水位4个含水率组的月、季径流分布直方图(占年的百分比)。对获得的结果与以前工作的结果进行了比较分析,特别是与“苏联地表水资源”的数据进行了比较分析,其中根据1930-1965年的数据给出了水状态阶段的平均周期。对所审议区域年内径流分布指标的分析结果使人们能够确定径流形成的特征,以及相对于早期评估的变化。
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