CNN-Wavelet-Transform-Based Model for Solar Photovoltaic Power Prediction

Lin Juchuang, Zhu Anmin
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Abstract

Solar power is one of the abundant renewable energy sources. But the power generation capacity of photovoltaic power plants fluctuates significantly due to changes in weather conditions. In this paper, a new model is proposed, which consists of convolutional neural network, wavelet transform and support vector machine (CWS). Firstly, the features of the original data are expanded through the convolutional neural network (CNN). And then the wavelet transform is introduced to suppress the noise in the expanded data. Finally, the output power of the photovoltaic power station is predicted by the support vector regression (SVR) method. The experimental results show that the prediction accuracy and training time of the new model show obvious advantages compared with the previous BI-LSTM (Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory), LS-SPP (LSTM-Based Solar Power Prediction) and LSTM under different prediction time ranges.
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基于cnn小波变换的太阳能光伏发电功率预测模型
太阳能是丰富的可再生能源之一。但由于天气条件的变化,光伏电站的发电能力波动较大。本文提出了一种由卷积神经网络、小波变换和支持向量机(CWS)组成的新模型。首先,通过卷积神经网络(CNN)对原始数据的特征进行扩展。然后引入小波变换来抑制扩展数据中的噪声。最后,利用支持向量回归(SVR)方法对光伏电站的输出功率进行预测。实验结果表明,与以往的BI-LSTM(双向长短期记忆)、LS-SPP(基于LSTM的太阳能功率预测)和LSTM相比,在不同的预测时间范围下,新模型的预测精度和训练时间都有明显的优势。
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