Two-Stage Stochastic Dynamic Unit Commitment and Its Analytical Solution With Large Scale Wind Power Integration

Tao Zhu, Zhenyi Wang, Chuan Zhao, Shuwei Xu
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Abstract

Large-scale wind power integration brings great challenges to the secure and economic operation of power system. To cope with the uncertainty of wind power, this paper proposes a two-stage chance-constrained stochastic unit commitment model in which the wind power forecast error is described by a multi-dimensional Gaussian mixture model (GMM). The multi-dimensional GMM can accurately capture the characteristics of “multi-peak”, “asymmetric” and “multidimensional correlation In addition, a tractability transformation method is proposed and the chance constraints that cannot be directly handled are replaced by deterministic linear constraints approximatively. Therefore, the original problem can be solved efficiently with enough accuracy. The model proposed in this paper can effectively coordinates the master-problem of unit commitment and the sub-problem of generation-reserve dispatch. The optimal solution is an executable schedule, which avoids further modification and guarantees the optimality of generation cost. Compared with the two-stage robust unit commitment, the conservatism of its results is improved. Numerical tests on IEEE-118 system demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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大规模风电并网的两阶段随机动态机组承诺及其解析解
大规模的风电并网给电力系统的安全、经济运行带来了巨大的挑战。针对风电的不确定性,提出了一种两阶段机会约束的随机机组承诺模型,其中风电预测误差用多维高斯混合模型(GMM)来描述。多维GMM能够准确捕捉“多峰”、“不对称”和“多维相关”的特征,并提出了一种可追溯性转换方法,将无法直接处理的机会约束近似地替换为确定性线性约束。因此,可以有效地求解原始问题,并具有足够的精度。该模型能有效地协调机组承诺主问题和备用调度子问题。最优方案是一个可执行的计划,避免了进一步的修改,并保证了发电成本的最优性。与两阶段鲁棒单元承诺相比,其结果的保守性得到了提高。在IEEE-118系统上的数值试验验证了该方法的有效性。
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