Evidence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Emerging Eastern European Economies

Ola Grytten, Viktoriia Koilo
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the relationship of economic development, measured as economic growth, energy use, trade and foreign direct investment one the one hand and environmental degradation (carbon dioxide (hereafter CO2) emissions) on the other hand, in eleven emerging Eastern European countries during the period of 1990 to 2014. The empirical results support a carbon emission’s Kuznets curve hypothesis for Eastern Europe. The current income level indicates that not every country has reached the turning point for CO2 emissions reduction goal. In addition, the study proves a positive effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on CO2 emissions in Eastern European countries. Also the results show that there is a negative effect of total energy consumption on environment as it increases CO2 emissions. Hence, there is a significant need of reforming the electricity markets that requires necessary improvement and attraction of investment, strong central political support, thorough preparation and continuous development. Income elasticities for CO2 are positive for all 11 countries. The paper concludes that within the group Ukraine and Kazakhstan has the most sensitive change in economic growth in respect to its CO2. It is expected that the innovative transition to a low-carbon economy offers great opportunities for economic growth and job creation. Technological leadership should be accompanied by the development and introduction of new technologies throughout Eastern European countries, hence, the paradigm of “sustainable development” should be considered. This requires the unification of the research, industry and financial sectors, as well as the support of state bodies.
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新兴东欧经济体环境库兹涅茨曲线的证据
本研究旨在研究1990年至2014年期间11个新兴东欧国家的经济发展(以经济增长、能源使用、贸易和外国直接投资为衡量标准)与环境恶化(二氧化碳(以下简称CO2)排放)之间的关系。实证结果支持了东欧碳排放库兹涅茨曲线假设。从目前的收入水平来看,并不是每个国家都达到了二氧化碳减排目标的拐点。此外,该研究还证明了外国直接投资(FDI)对东欧国家二氧化碳排放的积极影响。总能源消耗增加了二氧化碳的排放,对环境产生了负面影响。因此,改革电力市场需要必要的改善和吸引投资,需要强有力的中央政治支持,需要充分的准备和持续的发展。所有11个国家的二氧化碳收入弹性均为正。本文得出结论,在集团内,乌克兰和哈萨克斯坦的经济增长对其二氧化碳的变化最为敏感。预计向低碳经济的创新转型将为经济增长和创造就业机会提供巨大机遇。在整个东欧国家中,在技术领先的同时应发展和引进新技术,因此,应考虑“可持续发展”的范例。这需要研究、工业和金融部门的统一,以及国家机构的支持。
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