On Heterodox Attempts to Cover Up Joan Robinson’s Failure to Comprehend Keynes’s Liquidity Preference Theory of the Rate of Interest and Keynes’s IS-LM Model in Their Correspondence of September through November,1936

M. E. Brady
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Abstract

In September, 1936, Keynes started reviewing materials sent to him by Joan Robinson for publication as a book, titled” Essays in the Theory of Employment”, which was published in 1937 .Keynes discovered some significant misunderstandings on J. Robinson’s part regarding exchange rate and price adjustments of foreign securities between two countries. However, the much more severe problem, from Keynes’s point of view, was that, in the course of the exchanges, J. Robinson demonstrated her complete failure to grasp Keynes’s liquidity preference theory of the rate of interest, as presented by Keynes using his original IS-LM (LP) model discussed extensively in chapter 21 in Parts IV -VI on pages 298-306 of the General Theory.

This was due to Robinson’s having latched on to the initial, introductory, beginning discussions of liquidity preference in chapter 13 on page 168, where Keynes defined M=L(r). M=L(r) is what Joan Robinson over her entire life believed determined the rate of interest. It is impossible to combine this equation with Keynes’s IS equation from p.63, that I=S, as analyzed further by Keynes on p.115 and p.137 of the General Theory, which leads to the equations C=f(Y ) ,or S=h(Y), and I=g(r) ,where one can conduct an analysis in Keynes’s (r,Y) space. Only the equation on p.199 of the General Theory, M=L(r,Y) ,can be combined in (r,Y ) space with the IS equation to form Keynes’s version of IS-LM(LP),which Keynes based on the D-Z model of chapter 20. This equilibrium then determines the nominal, long run rate of interest.If the nominal, long run rate of interest falls to 2 % or less, monetary policy will in totally ineffective because the intersection of the IS equation will fall in the elasticity range of the LM equation that exhibited virtually absolute liquidity preference

Robinson did not have the mathematical training needed to grasp what Keynes was doing in chapters 15 and 21(20) of the General Theory. The problem of her mathematical illiteracy, that had originally shown up in 1932-1933 regarding Pigou’s seeking some clarification from her about mathematical work that had actually been performed for her by either A.Robinson or Richard Kahn in her 1933 book, the Theory of Imperfect Competition,reared its head again in 1936. However, this time neither R. Kahn nor A. Robinson would be able to save her from the intellectual mess she had made out of the General Theory. J. Robinson never raised any concerns to Keynes in 1935 when she was reviewing the Second draft copy of the General Theory regarding chapters 15,20 and 21. However, in 1936, Keynes discovered that Robinson actually had no better idea about his liquidity theory of the rate of interest than R. Harrod, D. Robertson and R.Hawtrey.

Her total failure to grasp Keynes’s theory of the rate of interest was on complete display in these exchanges. This is why adherents of heterodox economics have sought to cover up these exchanges because anyone reading them in their entirety will know that Joan Robinson does not know what she is talking about in 1936.
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论琼·罗宾逊未能理解凯恩斯的利率流动性偏好理论和凯恩斯的IS-LM模型的异端企图(1936年9 - 11月
1936年9月,凯恩斯开始整理罗宾逊寄给他的材料,准备成书出版,该书于1937年出版,凯恩斯发现罗宾逊关于两国间外国证券的汇率和价格调整的一些重大误解。然而,从凯恩斯的角度来看,更严重的问题是,在交换的过程中,J.罗宾逊表明她完全没有掌握凯恩斯的利率流动性偏好理论,正如凯恩斯使用他的原始IS-LM (LP)模型所提出的那样,该模型在《通论》第298-306页第四部分至第六部分的第21章中进行了广泛讨论。这是由于罗宾逊抓住了第168页第13章中关于流动性偏好的最初的、介绍性的、开始的讨论,凯恩斯在那里定义了M=L(r)。M=L(r)是琼·罗宾逊一生所相信的决定利率的东西。不可能将这个方程与凯恩斯在第63页的is方程结合起来,即I=S,正如凯恩斯在《通论》第115页和第137页进一步分析的那样,这导致了方程C=f(Y),或S=h(Y),和I=g(r),其中可以在凯恩斯的(r,Y)空间中进行分析。只有《通论》第199页的方程M=L(r,Y)可以在(r,Y)空间中与IS方程结合,形成凯恩斯版本的IS- lm (LP),这是凯恩斯在第20章的D-Z模型的基础上提出的。这种均衡决定了名义长期利率。如果名义长期利率降至2%或更低,货币政策将完全无效,因为IS方程的交叉点将落在LM方程的弹性范围内,表现出几乎绝对的流动性偏好。罗宾逊没有接受必要的数学训练,无法理解凯恩斯在《通论》第15章和第21章(20)中所做的事情。她不懂数学的问题,最初是在1932-1933年出现的,当时庇古试图从她那里得到一些关于数学工作的解释,这些数学工作实际上是由a·罗宾逊或理查德·卡恩在她1933年的著作《不完全竞争理论》中为她完成的,在1936年再次出现。然而,这一次,R. Kahn和A. Robinson都不能把她从她从通论中弄出来的知识混乱中拯救出来。1935年,罗宾逊在审阅《通论》第15、20和21章的第二稿时,从未向凯恩斯提出过任何担忧。然而,在1936年,凯恩斯发现罗宾逊对他的利率流动性理论实际上并不比哈罗德、罗伯逊和霍特里了解得更好,她对凯恩斯利率理论的完全理解在这些交流中得到了充分的体现。这就是为什么非正统经济学的追随者试图掩盖这些交流,因为任何完整阅读这些内容的人都会知道,琼·罗宾逊在1936年并不知道她在说什么。
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