Fighting Uncertainty with Uncertainty

R. Kashyap
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control and hence in the decision making process could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes. The example we fully develop is the news-vendor inventory management problem with demand uncertainty with the prescription, "Don't Simply Optimize, Also Randomize, perhaps best described by the term - Randoptimization".
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以不确定性对抗不确定性
我们可以用不确定性来克服不确定性。在我们的选择和控制中使用随机性,从而在决策过程中可以潜在地抵消环境中固有的不确定性,并产生更好的结果。我们充分开发的例子是需求不确定的新闻供应商库存管理问题,其处方是“不要简单地优化,还要随机化,也许最好的描述是术语-随机优化”。
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