Data Center Cooling Load Prediction and Analysis based on Weather Data Clustering

Huixian Meng, Qingbin Lin, Lun Zhang
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Abstract

With the rapid development of data center, it is urgent to reduce energy consumption from the perspective of central cooling plant. At the same time, with the deepening application of clustering methods in data analysis, this study combines the K-means clustering method in machine learning with the energy consumption simulation software, DeST and applies it to actual case. The weather data of whole year are clustered into 29 typical daily patterns in Changzhou to study the load characteristic. It is found that there are 9 operation modes in the data center. The impact of hourly weather data changes on the external load of the data center is analyzed. The positive and negative impact of the temperature on the load of the following day are 4.96 % and -5.73 % in the heating season, 3.72 % and -2.63 % in the cooling season, which can be ignored. The cooling load of IT equipment accounts for a large proportion while the external load of hot and cold only accounts for 5.02 % and -5.73 % in the data center. Due to its 24-hour operation, the annual load change is relatively stable. The accuracy of load prediction is 56.60 %.
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基于天气数据聚类的数据中心冷负荷预测与分析
随着数据中心的快速发展,从中央冷却装置的角度降低能耗是当务之急。同时,随着聚类方法在数据分析中的应用不断深入,本研究将机器学习中的K-means聚类方法与能耗仿真软件DeST相结合,并将其应用于实际案例。将常州市全年天气数据聚类为29个典型日型,研究其负荷特征。发现数据中心有9种运行模式。分析了逐时气象数据变化对数据中心外部负荷的影响。采暖季温度对次日负荷的正、负影响分别为4.96%和- 5.73%,制冷季为3.72%和- 2.63%,可以忽略不计。IT设备的冷负荷占比较大,而数据中心的冷热外负荷仅占5.02%和- 5.73%。由于24小时运行,年负荷变化相对稳定。负荷预测精度为56.60%。
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