Corporate USA: Trending Downwards

P. Rampling
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Abstract

Purpose – This paper develops a discussion looking at the financial performance trends of Corporate USA. Design/methodology/approach – The United States of America, the data collected is from public listed corporations from 2000–2012* (Estimates based on a 3 year rolling average) for the development of multivariate regression models for parametric data. These developed models are constructed to test relationships between dependent and independent variables in line with research questions and hypotheses.Findings – The findings found that there is a high correlation using the adjusted R2 measure between EBIT and NPAT and Share Prices as DV’s and Market Capitalisation as IV’s, all as at 30/6 from 2000–2011 actuals and 2012*(Estimates based on a 3 year rolling average). The preliminary findings seem to suggest that between 2000–2005, although share prices in the US were high, that issued capital was lower, resulting in lower Market Caps, shows a lower EBIT and NPAT. Between 2005–2006, that share prices, share issues and Market Caps in the US tended to peak, show a higher EBIT and NPAT. From 2007-2008 on wards consistent with the times, although share issues are at an all time high, share prices have dramatically slumped over this period, resulting in much lower Market Caps, show lower EBIT and NPAT. There would seem to be a near perfect correlation between DV's and IV's, and in particular a near perfect correlation between MCAPS and PROFITABILITY which is being studied further in greater detail.Originality/value – The paper will be of vital importance to other academics looking at this question, and to both public and private sector entities.
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美国企业界:呈下降趋势
目的-本文对美国公司的财务绩效趋势进行了讨论。设计/方法/方法-美国,收集的数据来自2000-2012年的上市公司*(基于3年滚动平均值的估计),用于开发参数数据的多元回归模型。这些开发的模型是为了检验因变量和自变量之间的关系,根据研究问题和假设。研究结果-研究结果发现,使用调整后的R2测量方法,息税前利润和净现值与股价(DV)和市值(IV)之间存在高度相关性,从2000年至2011年的实际数据和2012年*(基于3年滚动平均值的估计)均为30/6。初步研究结果似乎表明,在2000年至2005年期间,尽管美国股价高企,但已发行资本较低,导致市值较低,显示出较低的息税前利润和NPAT。2005-2006年期间,美国股价、股票发行和市值往往达到峰值,这表明息税前利润和净现值更高。从2007-2008年开始,虽然股票发行量一直处于历史高位,但股价在此期间大幅下跌,导致市值大幅下降,息税前利润和净现值也有所下降。DV和IV之间似乎存在近乎完美的相关性,特别是mcap和盈利能力之间存在近乎完美的相关性,这一点正在进一步进行更详细的研究。原创性/价值——这篇论文对于其他研究这一问题的学者以及公共和私营部门实体都至关重要。
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