Conclusion

Austin Carson
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Abstract

This chapter summarizes the key empirical findings and address extension of the basic argument to cyberconflict and violence within states (i.e., civil wars, terrorism). A consistent theme of the book is that the backstage of war sometimes features direct combat encounters by outside powers that were publicly understood to have avoided such entanglements. The chapter then presents a brief case study of a post-Cold War conflict: the Iranian covert weapons supply program during the U.S. occupation of Iraq (2003–2011). The U.S. occupation of Iraq and the Iranian covert intervention that followed suggest the links between limited war, covertness, and collusion continue to be relevant. Though conclusions about the case are necessarily preliminary, the chapter reviews this conflict to illustrate how the claims of the theory travel to a more recent case. It also addresses questions about the initial choice to intervene, mistakes and exploitation, and the possible implications of social media and leaks in the contemporary era. It concludes by discussing the implications of secrecy's role in escalation control for policy and scholarship.
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本章总结了关键的实证发现,并将基本论点扩展到国家内部的网络冲突和暴力(即内战、恐怖主义)。这本书的一个一贯主题是,战争的后台有时以外部力量的直接战斗为特征,而这些战斗被公众理解为避免了这种纠缠。本章随后介绍了冷战后冲突的一个简短案例研究:美国占领伊拉克期间(2003-2011年)伊朗秘密武器供应计划。美国对伊拉克的占领和随后伊朗的秘密干预表明,有限战争、隐蔽和勾结之间的联系仍然是相关的。虽然关于该案例的结论必然是初步的,但本章回顾了这一冲突,以说明该理论的主张如何适用于最近的案例。它还探讨了干预的最初选择、错误和利用,以及社交媒体和泄密在当代可能产生的影响。最后讨论了保密在政策和学术控制升级中的作用的含义。
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6. The Vietnam War (1964– 1968) 4. The Spanish Civil War (1936– 1939) 3. The Emergence of Covert Warfare 2. A Limited- War Theory of Secrecy Index
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