Liberalization and Political Stability in Central Asia

Daulet Turganov
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Abstract

Most studies on transitions to democracy focus on macro-level factors, while Przeworski considers people as the most important factor and emphasizes looking at the ruling class and civil society. Softliners within the ruling class may aim to choose to open up the system to increase political stability and ensure the survival of the existing regime. The paper aims to test whether liberalization indeed increases political stability in the Central Asian context. By performing the empirical analyses, one can find out that liberalization results in political stability in Central Asia.
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中亚的自由化与政治稳定
大多数关于民主转型的研究关注的是宏观层面的因素,而Przeworski认为人是最重要的因素,强调关注统治阶级和公民社会。统治阶级内部的温和派可能会选择开放体制,以增加政治稳定,并确保现有政权的生存。本文旨在检验自由化是否确实增加了中亚地区的政治稳定。通过实证分析,可以发现自由化带来了中亚地区的政治稳定。
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