Estimation of direct and indirect effects under the counterfactual models

Shinjo Yada, R. Uozumi, M. Taguri
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Abstract

When a causal effect between treatment and outcome variables is observed, effects on the outcome are of interest to investigate the mechanisms among the outcome and treatment. Indirect effect is defined as the causal effect of the treatment on the outcome via the mediator. Direct effect is defined as the causal effect of the treatment on the outcome that is not through the mediator. In this paper, we discuss the estimation of direct and indirect effects based on the framework of potential response models focusing on the 4-way decomposition. Direct and indirect effect estimations are illustrated with two examples where the outcome, mediator, covariate variables are continuous and categorical data. Moreover, we discuss the estimation of clausal effects and the effect decomposition in the settings that include confounder of mediator and outcome affected by treatment, multiple mediators, or time-varying treatment in the presence of time-dependent confounder. a  t −1, l  t  
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反事实模型下直接和间接影响的估计
当观察到治疗和结果变量之间的因果关系时,研究结果和治疗之间的机制对结果的影响是有兴趣的。间接效应定义为治疗通过中介作用对结果产生的因果效应。直接效应被定义为治疗对结果的因果效应,而不是通过中介。本文以四向分解为重点,讨论了基于潜在响应模型框架的直接效应和间接效应的估计。直接和间接效应估计用两个例子来说明,其中结果,中介,协变量是连续和分类数据。此外,我们还讨论了在包括介质混杂因素和受治疗、多种介质或存在时间依赖混杂因素的时变治疗影响的结果的设置中对条款效应的估计和效应分解。At−1,lt
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