The Defuzzification Methods Comparison of Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System in Predicting Tofu Production

Abstract

One of the tofu-producing companies in Kupang City is Bintang Oesapa. With the Covid-19 pandemic,the factory needs to reconsider the amount of production by taking into account the unpredictability ofdemand and resources to minimize losses due to excessive accumulation or shortages of supplies. Indetermining the amount of production, Mamdani’s Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) can be used, whichis a method for the analysis of an uncertain system. This method has three stages in the process ofdecision making, namely fuzzification, inferencing and defuzzification. In the defuzzification stage,the FIS Mamdani has five methods, namely Centroid, Bisector, Mean of Maximum (MOM), Smallestof Maximum (SOM), and Largest of Maximum (LOM). This study discusses an application of FISMamdani with five defuzzification methods for determining daily tofu production. The purpose of thisstudy is to offer a solution by first comparing the five defuzzification methods in assessing the amount oftofu production at the Bintang Oesapa factory and then determining that which is most appropriate. Theinput variables used in this research are the amount of demand and the amount of available stock, whilethe amount of production is our variable of interest. The results showed that the best defuzzificationmethod was the MOM method with an accuracy level of 94.73% and a small error value, 5.27%. TheMOM defuzzification is expected to aid decision makers in determining the best amount of productionduring the pandemic.