Network security risk analysis using attacker's behavioral parameters

Hoora Ketabdar, Razieh Rezaee, Abbas Ghaemi-Bafghi, Masoud Khosravi-Farmad
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Abstract

Computer networks consist of several assets such as hardware, software, and data sources. These assets have often some vulnerabilities which can be exploited by attackers that violate security policies in the network. Considering the limited budget, the network administrator should analyze and prioritize these vulnerabilities to be able to efficiently protect a network by mitigating the most risky ones. So far, several security parameters are offered to analyze security risks from the network security administrator's perspective. The major drawback of these methods is that they do not consider attacker's motivation. Depending on the motivation of potential attackers, different attack path may be selected for network security compromise. So, attacker's motivation is a key factor in predicting the attacker's behavior. In this paper, the attacker's motivation is considered in the process of security risk analysis, so network administrators are able to analyze security risks more accurately. The proposed method is applied on a network and the results are compared with novel works in this area. The experimental results show that network administrator will be able to precisely predict the behavior of attackers and apply countermeasures more efficiently.
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基于攻击者行为参数的网络安全风险分析
计算机网络由硬件、软件和数据源等多种资产组成。这些资产通常存在一些漏洞,攻击者可以利用这些漏洞违反网络中的安全策略。考虑到有限的预算,网络管理员应该对这些漏洞进行分析并确定优先级,以便通过降低风险最大的漏洞来有效地保护网络。至此,提供了几个安全参数,从网络安全管理员的角度分析安全风险。这些方法的主要缺点是不考虑攻击者的动机。根据潜在攻击者的动机,可能会选择不同的攻击路径来危害网络安全。因此,攻击者的动机是预测攻击者行为的关键因素。本文在安全风险分析过程中考虑了攻击者的动机,使网络管理员能够更准确地分析安全风险。将该方法应用于一个网络,并与该领域的新成果进行了比较。实验结果表明,网络管理员能够更准确地预测攻击者的行为并更有效地采取对策。
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