The Impact of the Global Financial Safety Net on Emerging Market Bond Spreads

Jenny Kilp, V. Anvari, S. Springfield, C. Roberts
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Following the 2007/08 global financial crisis, it became evident that there was a need for a strengthening of the global financial safety net (GFSN). However, the manner in which this should be achieved became a polarising issue of debate in international institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the G20. The empirical evidence concerning the impact of the GFSN remains scarce, therefore, this paper seeks to contribute to the debate by investigating the potential impacts that the various layers of the GFSN can have on sovereign borrowing costs in emerging markets. After initially replicating common methodologies in the literature concerned with identifying determinants of foreign currency sovereign spreads in emerging markets, the analysis is expanded to include elements of the GFSN. The results indicate that whilst the liquidity buffers provided by the overall GFSN appear to lower sovereign spreads, the impact of individual layers of the safety net are more ambiguous.
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全球金融安全网对新兴市场债券息差的影响
在2007/08年全球金融危机之后,加强全球金融安全网(GFSN)的必要性变得越来越明显。然而,在国际货币基金组织(IMF)和20国集团(G20)等国际机构中,实现这一目标的方式成为一个两极分化的争论问题。关于GFSN影响的经验证据仍然稀缺,因此,本文试图通过调查GFSN的各个层面对新兴市场主权借贷成本的潜在影响,为这场辩论做出贡献。在最初复制了有关确定新兴市场外币主权利差决定因素的文献中的常用方法后,分析扩展到包括GFSN的要素。结果表明,虽然整体GFSN提供的流动性缓冲似乎降低了主权利差,但安全网各层的影响更为模糊。
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