Planning for resilience of water networks under earthquake hazard

S. Uma, F. Scheele, E. Abbott, J. Moratalla
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Water networks are vulnerable to earthquakes and failures of network components can result in a lack of availability of services, sometimes leading to relocation of the community. In New Zealand, there are statutory requirements for the water network providers to address the resilience of infrastructure assets. This is done by identifying and managing risks related to natural hazards and planning for appropriate financial provision to manage those risks. In addition to this, the impact from the Canterbury region earthquakes has accelerated the need for understanding the potential risk to critical infrastructure networks to minimise socio-economic impact. As such, there is a need for developing pragmatic approaches to deliver appropriate hazard and risk information to the stakeholders. Within the context of improving resilience for water networks, this study presents a transparent and staged approach to risk assessment by adopting three significant steps: (i) to define an earthquake hazard scenario for which the impact needs to be assessed and managed; (ii) to identify vulnerable parts of the network components; and (iii) to estimate likely outage time of services in the areas of interest. The above process is illustrated through a case study with water supply and wastewater networks of Rotorua Lakes Council by estimating ground motion intensities, damage identification and outage modelling affected by number of crews and preferred repair strategies. This case study sets an example by which other councils and/or water network managers could undertake risk assessment studies underpinned by science models and develop resilience management plans.
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地震灾害下水网恢复力规划
供水网络很容易受到地震的影响,网络组件的故障可能导致缺乏可用的服务,有时导致社区搬迁。在新西兰,有法律要求供水网络供应商解决基础设施资产的弹性问题。要做到这一点,需要查明和管理与自然灾害有关的风险,并规划适当的资金供应,以管理这些风险。除此之外,坎特伯雷地区地震的影响加速了对关键基础设施网络潜在风险的了解,以最大限度地减少社会经济影响。因此,有必要制定实用的方法,向利益相关者提供适当的危害和风险信息。在提高供水网络恢复能力的背景下,本研究通过采取三个重要步骤,提出了一种透明的分阶段风险评估方法:(i)定义需要评估和管理影响的地震危险情景;(ii)识别网络组件的易受攻击部分;(iii)估计有关地区的服务可能中断的时间。通过对罗托鲁瓦湖泊委员会供水和污水管网的案例研究,通过估计地面运动强度、损坏识别和受工作人员数量和首选维修策略影响的停机模型,说明了上述过程。本案例研究为其他理事会和/或水网管理者提供了一个范例,使他们能够开展以科学模型为基础的风险评估研究,并制定弹性管理计划。
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