Testing Weak-Form Market Efficiency of Next Eleven Countries

Al-Amin Bhuiyan
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Abstract

This research is based on Efficient Market Hypothesis. Markets are divided into three form based on pricing efficiency and these are weak-form, semi-strong form and strong-form efficiency. The main research question is to investigate weak-form pricing efficiency of “next eleven” countries. We have used historical stock indices returns for ten years period starting from 09/01/2003 to 02/10/2013. Daily full period data is divided into two groups (pre-financial crisis and post-financial crisis). Pre-financial crisis start from January 2003 to March 2008 and Post-financial crisis start from April 2008 to September 2013. Weekly full period returns start from 11/09/2003 to 30/08/2013. The purpose of dividing the sample data into two groups is to check whether financial crisis had any impact on the efficiency of these markets.
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测试未来11个国家的弱形式市场效率
本研究基于有效市场假说。市场根据定价效率分为三种形式,即弱形式、半强形式和强形式效率。主要研究问题是对“下一个十一”国家的弱形式定价效率进行研究。我们使用了从2003年1月9日到2013年10月2日这10年的历史股票指数回报。每日全期数据分为两组(金融危机前和金融危机后)。金融危机前为2003年1月至2008年3月,金融危机后为2008年4月至2013年9月。从2003年9月11日起至2013年8月30日止。将样本数据分成两组的目的是为了检验金融危机对这些市场的效率是否有影响。
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