Heavy Moving Averages in exchange rate forecasting

Ernesto León-Castro, Ezequiel Avilés-Ochoa, J. M. Lindahl, A. M. G. Lafuente
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The paper presents the Heavy Ordered Weighted Moving Average (HOWMA) operator. It is a new aggregation operator that takes the advantage of the moving average to solve time series smoothing problems and the heavy OWA to provide more robust formulation and take into account the expectations of the future scenarios. It includes a wide range of particular cases such as the olympic moving aggregation and centered moving aggregation. The study also includes a new application to forecast the exchange rate USD/MXN combining econometric models and the HOWMA operator.
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汇率预测中的重移动平均线
提出了重有序加权移动平均算子(HOWMA)。它是一种新的聚合算子,利用移动平均线来解决时间序列平滑问题,利用重OWA来提供更稳健的公式,并考虑到对未来情景的期望。它包括范围广泛的特殊情况,如奥林匹克移动聚合和中心移动聚合。该研究还包括结合计量经济模型和HOWMA算子预测美元/比索汇率的新应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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