Research on Intelligent Distribution and Regulation of Water Resources based on Grey Prediction and TOPSIS

Jiacheng Wu, Junyi Huang, Qian Yang, Yin-Ying Tang, C. Shi
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Abstract

This paper collected historical data of water resources of provincial administrative units in China, used the grey prediction model to predict the supply and demand of freshwater resources in China from 2020 to 2032 and obtained the final prediction results. Then, this paper calculated the coefficient of variation in water supply, the coefficient of supply and demand, the coefficient of pollution, and other indicators and used the TOPSIS model based on the entropy weight method to determine the proportion of each indicator. The ranking of the water demand degree of each city, water resource pollution degree, and seawater desalination potential are calculated according to the weights. Specific schemes of priority water storage, water protection, and seawater desalination facilities are provided. Finally, based on the model 2 conclusion to determine water city, the provincial administrative units prepare for the node figure, Dijkstra algorithm using MATLAB program, to solve the shortest path, get the four most economical and efficient route, specific route plan for water transport.
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基于灰色预测和TOPSIS的水资源智能分配与调控研究
本文收集中国省级行政单位水资源历史数据,运用灰色预测模型对2020 - 2032年中国淡水资源供需进行预测,得到最终预测结果。然后,计算供水变异系数、供需系数、污染系数等指标,利用基于熵权法的TOPSIS模型确定各指标的权重。根据权重计算各城市需水量排序、水资源污染排序、海水淡化潜力排序。提出了优先储水、保水和海水淡化设施的具体方案。最后,根据模型2的结论确定水城、各省行政单位的节点图,利用MATLAB编写Dijkstra算法程序,求解最短路径,得到四条最经济高效的路线,进行水运的具体路线规划。
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