Load Forecasting Method Based on CS-DBN-LSTM

Yiyan Liu, Lin Ju, Ruixuan Li
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Abstract

Accurate load forecasting can improve the take-up rate of electricity, and ensure the electricity demand of residents for production and living can be met in time. A load prediction method integrated DBN and LSTM was adopted in the paper. Model used historical load data and weather data as data to improve prediction accuracy, since electricity is affected by factors mentioned above. The cuckoo search optimization was also introduced to find the best parameters for improving the prediction accuracy. The experiment result showed that the load forecasting algorithm proposed is with higher accuracy for the load forecasting compared with DBN, LSTM and DBN-LSTM.
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基于CS-DBN-LSTM的负荷预测方法
准确的负荷预测可以提高电力的利用率,保证及时满足居民生产和生活的用电需求。本文采用DBN和LSTM相结合的负荷预测方法。模型使用历史负荷数据和天气数据作为数据,以提高预测的准确性,因为电力受到上述因素的影响。引入布谷鸟搜索优化,寻找提高预测精度的最佳参数。实验结果表明,与DBN、LSTM和DBN-LSTM相比,所提出的负荷预测算法具有更高的负荷预测精度。
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