Structural characterization of ecommerce for its growth and development in Peru

Aaron Caycho-Vilchez, Duvant Céspedes-Olaya, A. Flores-Perez, Marcos Ruiz-Ruiz
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Abstract

The objective of this study was to determine those key variables or factors that characterize ecommerce in Peru and will drive its growth and development to reach the turnover levels of the main Latin American economies. In this sense, a PEST analysis was conducted to identify the most relevant variables of the system studied. Then, based on an exploratory and descriptive design, a structural analysis (French strategic foresight technique) was carried out with the participation of 5 experts in ecommerce and digital media. Likewise, the MICMAC tool (Matrix of Cross Impacts Multiplication Applied to a Classification) was used to determine the levels of motricity and dependency of each proposed variable. The results identified consumer electronics culture as the most sensitive variable and, to a lesser extent, the variables of ecommerce application development, consumer banking and consumer distrust. Furthermore, it was found that the COVID 19 pandemic has had a positive impact on the adoption of ecommerce in Peru. Finally, this study constitutes a starting point for the planning and design of future scenarios for the behavior of the ecommerce system in Peru in the medium and long term.
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电子商务在秘鲁增长和发展的结构特征
本研究的目的是确定秘鲁电子商务特征的关键变量或因素,并将推动其增长和发展,以达到拉丁美洲主要经济体的营业额水平。在这个意义上,进行PEST分析以确定所研究系统中最相关的变量。然后,在探索性和描述性设计的基础上,在5位电子商务和数字媒体专家的参与下进行了结构分析(法国战略预见技术)。同样,使用MICMAC工具(应用于分类的交叉影响乘法矩阵)来确定每个提议变量的动态程度和依赖性。结果表明,消费电子文化是最敏感的变量,其次是电子商务应用程序开发、消费者银行业务和消费者不信任等变量。此外,研究发现COVID - 19大流行对秘鲁电子商务的采用产生了积极影响。最后,本研究为秘鲁电子商务系统中长期行为的未来情景规划和设计提供了一个起点。
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