Probabilistic Multi-Stability Assessment in Power Systems with Uncertain Wind Generation

Abstract

This paper presents the application of a probabilistic multi-stability assessment of a modified two-area system under the presence of low and high uncertainty sources. The stability of the network is assessed under four stability regimes: frequency, small-signal rotor angle, large-signal rotor angle, and long-term voltage. The probabilistic assessment is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. Two cases considering low and high uncertainty are investigated. The obtained results are presented in the form of parallel coordinate plots so that the interaction between multiple stability regimes can be more easily understood. It is observed that the poor response of small-signal rotor angle stability generally corresponds to poor response of other stability types in low uncertainty case. However, once the level of uncertainty increases and more sources of uncertainty exist, this relationship is significantly changed.