Price Jumps in Visegrad Country Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis

J. Novotný
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引用次数: 18

Abstract

I empirically study price jumps using high frequency data comprising 5-, 10-, 15- and 30-minute market data on the main indices from the Prague, Warsaw, Budapest and Frankfurt Stock Exchanges for June 2003 to the end of 2008. I use two definitions of price jumps: the price jump index and normalized returns. First, I analyze the distribution of returns to support the presence of jumps. Second, I find that the distributions of the price jump indicators employed are significantly different for positive moves compared with negative moves in all the markets studied. In addition, the comparison of jump distributions across different frequencies and markets suggests a possible relationship with market micro-structure as well as with the composition of investors. In particular, at the Prague Stock Exchange, the lower the frequency, the lower the number of extreme jumps, but this is not so at the other markets. Last but not least, I show that the recent financial crisis caused an overall increase in volatility. However, this was not translated into an increase in the absolute number of jumps.
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维谢格拉德国家股票市场的价格跳跃:一个实证分析
我使用高频数据对价格跳涨进行了实证研究,这些高频数据包括布拉格、华沙、布达佩斯和法兰克福证券交易所2003年6月至2008年底期间主要指数的5分钟、10分钟、15分钟和30分钟市场数据。我使用了价格跳跃的两个定义:价格跳跃指数和标准化回报。首先,我分析收益的分布来支持跳跃的存在。其次,我发现在所研究的所有市场中,采用的价格跳跃指标的分布对于正波动与负波动有显著不同。此外,对不同频率和不同市场的跳跃分布的比较表明,这可能与市场微观结构以及投资者的构成有关。特别是,在布拉格证券交易所,频率越低,极端跳跃的次数越少,但在其他市场并非如此。最后但并非最不重要的是,我指出,最近的金融危机导致波动性总体上升。然而,这并没有转化为跳跃绝对数量的增加。
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