Keys and Tensions in Argentina's Foreign Trade Policy Strategy in the Search for an "Smart Insertion into the World" (2015-2018)

Julieta Zelicovich
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Abstract

After 12 years of Kirchnerist administrations, the government of Mauricio Macri have imparted substantial changes in the Argentinean foreign and economic policy. These changes have been reflected in a redesign of the foreign trade policy. We wonder what have been the characteristics of this policy during “Cambiemos” administration. In light balance of payments data, why have the results regarding the country's external trade insertion been limited? For this purpose, the paper analyzes the principles, objectives and actions implemented, as well as the articulation of internal and external constraints (or variables) in this government, between December 2015 and October 2018. It is argued that the foreign trade policy has faced a context that was not very permissive, and fell prey to foreign policy’s "bad diagnosis" of the international context; and that this, articulated with the political and economic contradictions that occurred at the domestic level, acted to the detriment of the objectives set for a “smart international insertion”.
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阿根廷寻求“智能融入世界”的对外贸易政策策略的关键与矛盾(2015-2018)
经过基什内尔政府12年的执政,毛里西奥·马克里政府给阿根廷的外交和经济政策带来了重大变化。这些变化反映在对外贸易政策的重新设计上。不知道“坎比莫斯”执政时期,这一政策的特点是什么。根据国际收支数据,为什么关于国家对外贸易插入的结果是有限的?为此,本文分析了该政府在2015年12月至2018年10月期间实施的原则、目标和行动,以及内部和外部约束(或变量)的表达。文章认为,对外贸易政策面临的是一个不太宽松的环境,成为外交政策对国际环境“坏诊断”的牺牲品;这一点,再加上国内出现的政治和经济矛盾,不利于“明智的国际介入”目标的实现。
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