Why do banks fail? An investigation via text mining

Hanh Hong Le, Jean- Laurent Viviani, Fitriya Fauzi
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Abstract

: This study aims to investigate the material loss review published by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) on 98 failed banks from 2008 to 2015. The text mining techniques via machine learning, i.e. bag of words, document clustering, and topic modeling, are employed for the investigation. The pre-processing step of text cleaning is first performed prior to the analysis. In comparison with traditional methods using financial ratios, our study generates actionable insights extracted from semi-structured textual data, i.e. the FDIC’s reports. Our text analytics suggests that to prevent from being a failure; banks should beware of loans, board management, supervisory process, the concentration of acquisition, development, and construction (ADC), and commercial real estate (CRE). In addition, the primary reasons that US banks went failure from 2008 to 2015 are explained by two primary topics, i.e. loan and management.
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银行为什么会倒闭?通过文本挖掘进行调查
本研究旨在调查联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)在2008年至2015年期间对98家倒闭银行的重大损失评估。本文采用了基于机器学习的文本挖掘技术,即词袋、文档聚类和主题建模。文本清理的预处理步骤首先在分析之前执行。与使用财务比率的传统方法相比,我们的研究从半结构化文本数据(即FDIC的报告)中提取出可操作的见解。我们的文本分析表明,为了避免失败;银行应该警惕贷款、董事会管理、监督程序、收购开发建设(ADC)和商业房地产(CRE)的集中。此外,2008 - 2015年美国银行倒闭的主要原因可以用贷款和管理两个主题来解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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