Finding Supply-Demand Gap on People Housing Fufillment in Indonesia — An Exploratory Approach

A. Agus, B. Hermanto
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Abstract

Until the end of 2012, Indonesia is experiencing 13.6 million housing backlog units, which had and will create social problems due to mechanism failures in fulfilling people basic housing needs. Although Indonesian government, through ministry of people housing, have already issued several programs, incentives and relaxing regulations, the creation of new housings per annum only reach 20% of the total amount of annual housing demand unit. This mean, with 80% unfulfilled demand per annum, housing backlog figures will grow and stay consistently on alarming rate. On the other hand, from operational point of view, there are challenges related with tremendous housing price increase within the last 10 years, due to (spiking) price increase on constructions materials as well as land price per square meter.This research is focusing both supply sides and demand side on people housing provisions. The supply-sides analyze the business process, governmental documentary support and financing cycles. Meanwhile the demand- sides analyze the patterns of younger generation households in fulfilling their housing needs. This approach is taken in order to find supply-demand gap challenges within Indonesia people housing fulfillment process.We employ several method approach, in conducting the research. Qualitative approaches are conveyed through media analysis on people housing reports and in-depth-interview with regulators (ministry of people housing), Construction Company’s executive, real estate consultant, housing mortgage providers as well as local government. Meanwhile, we also analyzed nation wide newspaper surveys on housing fulfillment, that enhanced with in depth interview with younger household with age range 25-35 years old.From the initial result, lacks of coordination and cooperation within housing provision stakeholders are strongly demonstrated. Leadership and rigor action-strategy for stakeholders are required in order to tackle the housing provisions mess in Indonesia.
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寻找印度尼西亚人民住房满足的供需差距——一种探索性方法
截至2012年底,印尼积压了1360万套住房,由于满足人们基本住房需求的机制失灵,这些住房已经并将造成社会问题。虽然印尼政府已经通过人民住房部发布了一些计划、激励措施和放松规定,但每年新建住房的数量只达到年住房需求总量的20%。这意味着,由于每年有80%的需求未得到满足,住房积压数字将继续增长,并以惊人的速度持续增长。另一方面,从运营角度来看,由于建筑材料价格和每平方米土地价格的上涨,过去10年房价大幅上涨,这带来了挑战。这项研究将重点放在住房供应和需求两方面。供给侧分析业务流程、政府文件支持和融资周期。同时,需求方分析了年轻一代家庭在满足其住房需求方面的模式。采取这种方法是为了找到印尼人民住房实现过程中的供需缺口挑战。我们在进行这项研究时采用了几种方法。定性方法通过媒体对人民住房报道的分析和对监管机构(人民住房部)、建筑公司高管、房地产顾问、住房抵押贷款提供者以及地方政府的深度访谈来传达。同时,我们还分析了全国范围内报纸对住房满意度的调查,并对年龄在25-35岁之间的年轻家庭进行了深入访谈。从最初的结果来看,住房供应利益相关者之间缺乏协调与合作。为了解决印尼住房供应混乱的问题,利益相关者需要领导和严格的行动战略。
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