Monetary Policy and Sectoral Shocks: Did the Federal Reserve React Properly to the High-Tech Crisis?

C. Raddatz, R. Rigobón
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引用次数: 14

Abstract

The authors present an identification strategy that allows them to study the sectoral effects of monetary policy and the role that monetary policy plays in the transmission of sectoral shocks. They apply their methodology to the case of the United States and find some significant differences in the sectoral responses to monetary policy. They also find that monetary policy is a significant source of sectoral transfers. In particular, a shock to equipment and software investment, which one identifies with the high-tech crisis, induces a response by the monetary authority that generates a temporary boom in residential investment and durables consumption but has almost no effect on the high-tech sector. Finally, the authors perform an exercise evaluating the model's predictions about the automatic and more aggressive monetary policy response to a shock similar to the one that hit the United States in early 2001. They find that the actual drop in interest rates is in line with the predictions of the model.
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货币政策与行业冲击:美联储对高科技危机的反应是否恰当?
作者提出了一种识别策略,使他们能够研究货币政策的部门效应以及货币政策在部门冲击传导中所起的作用。他们将自己的方法应用到美国的案例中,发现不同部门对货币政策的反应存在一些显著差异。他们还发现,货币政策是部门转移的一个重要来源。特别是,对设备和软件投资的冲击(人们认为这与高科技危机有关),会引起货币当局的反应,导致住宅投资和耐用品消费出现暂时的繁荣,但对高科技行业几乎没有影响。最后,作者进行了一项练习,评估该模型对类似于2001年初袭击美国的冲击的自动和更激进的货币政策反应的预测。他们发现实际利率的下降与模型的预测是一致的。
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