ASYNCHRONY IN FLUCTUATIONS OF THE MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS OF THE RIVERS IN THE BELARUSIAN POLESIE AND THE BELARUSIAN LAKELAND

A. Volchak, D. A. Shpoka
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Abstract

A comparative analysis of the maximum water levels formation of the rivers in the Belarus-ian Lakeland and the Belarusian Polesie for the period from 1946 to 2015 was carried out. Three periods were studied: 1946…1965 – the period before the mass reclamation, the peri-od of minimal anthropogenic impacts, can be conditionally accepted as a natural water re-gime; 1966…1987 – the period of mass reclamation; 1988…2015 – the period of modern climatic impacts. The methodological basis of the research was the scientific provisions on the stochastic nature of the variability of the river level regime and the comparative geo-graphical method. It is established that for the rivers of the Belarusian Lakeland there is a steady tendency to decrease the maximum water levels at a rate of minus 31 cm / 10 years in general for the entire period under review, while there is a slight decrease for the rivers of the Belarusian Polesie.
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白俄罗斯极地和白俄罗斯湖区河流最高水位波动的不同步
对1946年至2015年期间白俄罗斯湖区和白俄罗斯波勒西河的最高水位形成进行了比较分析。研究了三个时期:1946年至1965年-大规模填海之前的时期,人为影响最小的时期,可以有条件地接受为自然水状态;1966…1987 -大规模填海时期;1988年…2015年——现代气候影响时期。研究的方法论基础是对水位变异性随机性的科学规定和比较地理学方法。可以确定的是,在本报告所述的整个期间,白俄罗斯湖区的河流有一个稳定的趋势,即最高水位一般以每10年- 31厘米的速度下降,而白俄罗斯波勒西河的河流则略有下降。
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