Point estimate schemes for probabilistic load flow analysis of unbalanced electrical distribution systems with wind farms

Abstract

In this paper, the point estimate method is applied to account for the uncertainties that affect the evaluation of the steady state operating conditions of an unbalanced three-phase power system in the presence of wind farms. The accuracy of the proposed technique is tested on the three-phase unbalanced IEEE 34-bus test system adequately modified to take into account the presence of wind farms; the results obtained by applying the Monte Carlo simulation are assumed as a reference. The main conclusion is that the point estimate method gives good solutions in terms of accuracy and computational efforts.