Impact of Economic, Social and Meteorological Factors on Load Forecasting in Different Timeframes-A Survey

Maged M. Eljazzar, E. Hemayed
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Abstract

The electric Load is affected by various factors such as economic, social, and meteorological factors. This classification simplifies the studying of the correlation between these factors. It also provides a useful reference for researchers to pick up the best elements for their case according to the forecasting period; short, medium, or long term forecasting. This work introduces a comprehensive study of the factors that affect load forecasting in short, medium, and long-term load forecasting. Correlational model is applied to assess the relationship among parameters in different time horizons. The result provides two critical things to notes. Firstly, there are direct and indirect effects for some parameters based on the timeframe, and secondly, there is a significant accumulative effect of some parameters.
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经济、社会和气象因素对不同时间段负荷预测的影响——一项调查
电力负荷受经济、社会、气象等多种因素的影响。这种分类简化了这些因素之间相关性的研究。为研究人员根据预测周期选取适合自己案例的最佳要素提供了有益的参考;短期、中期或长期预测。本文对短期、中期和长期负荷预测中影响负荷预测的因素进行了全面研究。采用相关模型来评价不同时间范围内各参数之间的关系。结果提供了两个重要的事项。首先,部分参数根据时间范围存在直接和间接效应,其次,部分参数存在显著的累积效应。
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