Will Automation, AI, and Robots Lead to Widespread Unemployment?

B. Shneiderman
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Abstract

Automation eliminates certain jobs, as it has for hundreds of years. These disruptions are painful to many, but there are benefits of expanded production, increased quality, and lower costs to consumers, which often increases employment opportunities for many people. Controversies rage about Amazon's rapid growth, facilitated by automation in fulfillment centers, but at the same time their employee numbers have grown ten times in the past decade. While agricultural employment has dropped dramatically in the past hundred years, it has also led to more jobs in food distribution, supermarkets, and restaurants. At the same time, healthcare jobs have grown substantially for nursing, home care, personal training, and medical managers. New industries include software engineering, financial management, and renewable energy systems installation. The challenges are to ensure safety for workers and share the benefits of automation widely.
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自动化、人工智能和机器人会导致大规模失业吗?
自动化消除了某些工作,就像几百年来一样。这些中断对许多人来说是痛苦的,但对消费者来说,扩大生产、提高质量和降低成本是有好处的,这通常会增加许多人的就业机会。在配送中心自动化的推动下,亚马逊的快速增长引发了激烈的争议,但与此同时,亚马逊的员工数量在过去10年里增长了10倍。虽然农业就业人数在过去一百年里急剧下降,但它也带来了食品配送、超市和餐馆等行业的更多就业机会。与此同时,护理、家庭护理、个人培训和医疗经理等医疗保健工作也大幅增长。新兴行业包括软件工程、财务管理和可再生能源系统安装。面临的挑战是确保工人的安全,并广泛分享自动化带来的好处。
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