A Study over Transformations of the Parameters of Richards Growth Model into the Biologically Meaningful Parameters

Volkan Oda, M. Korkmaz, H. Şenol
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Abstract

In this study, it is explained how the Richards model, which is one of the sigmoid growth models, is transformed into a mechanical model with biologically significant parameters such as maximum growth value, lag time and maximum specific growth rate. Detail transformations of the Richards growth model containing 4 parameters with biologically significant parameters calculated with the help of the first and second derivatives were given. In order to test the accuracy of this model, the model prediction values were analyzed by using the height data of the E. Camaldulensis Dehn tree by years. The estimated values of the biologically significant parameters of Richards growth model containing 4 parameters were compared with the estimated values of the modified Gompertz, Logistic and Bertalanffy models containing the other 3 parameters. Error Sum of Squares, Coefficients of Determination and Akaike Information Criteria were used as model evaluation criteria for all proposed models, and it was concluded that the Richards growth model containing 4-parameters predicted relatively better than other models.
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理查兹生长模型参数转化为生物学意义参数的研究
本研究解释了s型生长模型之一的Richards模型如何转化为具有最大生长值、滞后时间和最大比生长率等生物学意义参数的力学模型。给出了包含4个参数的Richards生长模型的详细变换,并利用一阶导数和二阶导数计算了具有生物学意义的参数。为了检验该模型的准确性,利用不同年数的Camaldulensis Dehn树高数据对模型预测值进行了分析。将包含4个参数的Richards生长模型的生物显著性参数的估计值与包含另外3个参数的改良Gompertz、Logistic和Bertalanffy模型的估计值进行比较。采用误差平方和、决定系数和Akaike信息准则作为模型评价标准,得出包含4个参数的Richards增长模型的预测效果相对较好。
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