A Review of Reproductive Number of Pandemic Covid-19: Comparative Analysis of R Value

Sheta Biswas, A. K. Paul, Md. Al-Amin Molla, A. K. Chakrabarty
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Abstract

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is one of the most devastating outbreaks witnessed in the last 100 years causing a global health concern.At the beginning of a COVID-19 infection caused by the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), there is a period of time known as the latency period. In order to epidemic progression many scientists have concentrated on calculating the average number of secondary cases caused by a primary case in the susceptible population, which is referred as basic reproductive number, Ro. In this paper, we have studied the effect of basic reproductive number on the outbreak situation as well as comprehended the transmission pattern of COVID-19 globally. We have analyzed several data of basic reproductive numbers to discuss and finally, capable of exhibiting the prediction of this disease. Finally, comparison of reproductive numbers for several countries are represented graphically for better understanding the present outbreak situation of pandemic, COVID-19.
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大流行Covid-19繁殖数综述:R值的比较分析
严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)是过去100年来最具破坏性的疫情之一,引起了全球卫生关注。在由新型冠状病毒(SARS-CoV-2)引起的COVID-19感染开始时,有一段时间被称为潜伏期。为了了解流行病的进展情况,许多科学家集中计算易感人群中由原发病例引起的继发病例的平均数量,即基本繁殖数Ro。本文研究了基本繁殖数对疫情的影响,了解了COVID-19在全球的传播模式。我们分析了几种基本繁殖数的数据进行讨论,最后,能够显示本病的预测。最后,为了更好地了解COVID-19大流行目前的爆发情况,用图形表示了几个国家的生殖数字的比较。
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