Short-term Traffic Prediction Based on Genetic Improved Wavelet Neural Network

Tianzi Ma, Hao Chen
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Abstract

Efficient and accurate traffic prediction is the premise of the development of autonomous driving technology. In-depth research is made on the issue of short-term traffic speed prediction in autonomous driving systems. In view of the time-varying characteristics of the traffic main sentence, this paper designs and implements a traffic prediction system based on genetically improved wavelet neural networks. Through the training and learning of the historical average speed data of roads, it realizes the prediction of future road traffic conditions and helps the planning of travel routes. This algorithm circumvents the shortcomings of wavelet neural networks that easily fall into local minimums, and proposes to optimize the initial coefficients of wavelet neural networks by using the characteristics of global search of genetic algorithms to construct better neural networks. We have verified that the traffic speed prediction based on genetically improved wavelet neural network has a high degree of agreement with real data, and the effect is significantly better than the results of ordinary wavelet neural network, which has higher practical value.
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基于遗传改进小波神经网络的短期交通预测
高效、准确的交通预测是自动驾驶技术发展的前提。对自动驾驶系统中的短期交通速度预测问题进行了深入的研究。针对交通主句的时变特点,设计并实现了一种基于遗传改进小波神经网络的交通预测系统。通过对道路历史平均速度数据的训练和学习,实现对未来道路交通状况的预测,帮助规划出行路线。该算法克服了小波神经网络容易陷入局部极小的缺点,提出利用遗传算法全局搜索的特点对小波神经网络的初始系数进行优化,构建更好的神经网络。验证了基于遗传改进小波神经网络的交通速度预测与实际数据吻合度高,且预测效果明显优于普通小波神经网络,具有较高的实用价值。
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