Statistical Analysis of Interdependence of ICT and Economic Development of Selected European Countries

Milan Stamenković, M. Milanović, D. Petrović
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Abstract

Abstract The research focus on the analysis of interdependence of economic and ICT development results from the fact that, in recent decades, ICTs have become a dominant factor in generating socio-economic prosperity of countries. ICT expansion is a stimulus for economic growth, and vice versa. In order to empirically verify the observed interdependence, on the example of the selected 37 European countries, a two-stage statistical analysis was conducted, based on a combined application of cluster analysis and a oneway analysis of variance. Using specific data from 2017, the following was conducted: (a) formation of groups of countries by implementing cluster analysis based on the three structural components of the ICT Development Index; and (b) by applying the ANOVA method and using the values of GDP per capita, testing the validity of assumption regarding the existence of statistically significant differences, in terms of the achieved level of economic development between the formed groups of countries of different levels of ICT development. The obtained results suggest the extraction of three clusters of countries and the acceptance of the defined hypothesis. Serbia is classified within the cluster of medium ICT development level and is characterized by the value of GDP per capita that is significantly below the group average, which indicates the possibility and the need for improvement in the ICT field.
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若干欧洲国家信息通信技术与经济发展相互依存的统计分析
近几十年来,信息通信技术(ICT)已成为促进各国社会经济繁荣的主要因素,因此研究的重点是分析经济与信息通信技术发展之间的相互依存关系。信息通信技术的发展是经济增长的刺激因素,反之亦然。为了从经验上验证所观察到的相互依存关系,以选定的37个欧洲国家为例,基于聚类分析和单向方差分析的联合应用,进行了两阶段统计分析。使用2017年的具体数据,进行了以下工作:(a)基于ICT发展指数的三个结构组成部分,通过实施聚类分析形成国家分组;(b)通过运用方差分析方法并使用人均GDP值,就不同ICT发展水平的国家组成的集团之间的经济发展水平而言,检验关于存在统计显著差异的假设的有效性。得到的结果表明,提取三组国家和接受定义的假设。塞尔维亚属于信息和通信技术发展水平中等的一组,其特点是人均国内生产总值远低于该组的平均水平,这表明在信息和通信技术领域有改进的可能性和必要性。
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