Media Coverage and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns in Indonesia

Amelia Meidyawati
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Abstract

This research evaluates if the media coverage from newspaper affect Indonesia’s securities markets in the way that the more coverage a stock get, the lower the return will be and the less coverage, or even no coverage a stock get, the higher the return will be. If it is found, then the causes behind the media effect are going to be analyzed and chosen from three different causes, which are return and reversal drift, impediment to trade hypothesis, or Merton’s investor recognition hypothesis.The research data consists of monthly return of long-short portfolio of all stocks in Indonesia’s stock market that did not cease and is not newly listed from January 2006 to December 2010, which is formed by going long (buying) no-coverage stocks and going short (selling) high-coverage stocks. The first test which is conducted is diagnostic test (normality, heteroskedasticity, auto-correlation, and multicollinearity test) to the variables to ensure that the equations in this research have BLUE estimator. Then, the ordinary least square regression is applied to the capital asset pricing model, Fama-French three factor model, and Carhart four-factor model to see whether the media effect exists.This research found that the media effect does not exist because what is found is that return of high-coverage stocks is higher than return of no-coverage stocks in Indonesia’s stock market.
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印尼媒体报道与股票收益的横截面分析
本研究评估报纸媒体报导对印尼证券市场的影响是否表现为报导越多,收益越低,报导越少,甚至没有报导,收益越高。如果发现了,那么媒介效应背后的原因将从三个不同的原因中进行分析和选择,分别是收益和反转漂移,交易障碍假说,或者默顿的投资者认知假说。研究数据为2006年1月至2010年12月印尼股市所有未停牌且未新上市股票的多空组合月收益,由做多(买入)无覆盖股票和做空(卖出)高覆盖股票组成。首先对变量进行诊断性检验(正态性检验、异方差检验、自相关检验、多重共线性检验),确保本研究的方程具有BLUE估计量。然后,将普通最小二乘回归应用于资本资产定价模型、Fama-French三因素模型和Carhart四因素模型,考察媒介效应是否存在。本研究发现媒体效应并不存在,因为在印尼股市中发现高覆盖股票的收益高于无覆盖股票的收益。
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