Conceptual modeling and decision making support systems for complex dynamical systems: A critical overview

Abstract

The challenging issues of modelling and controlling complex dynamic systems (CDS) are carefully considered and properly addressed. Qualitative description of most of the parameters of complex dynamic systems results inevitably in fuzziness, complexity and uncertainty. One of the challenges of accepting the operation of any complex dynamic system is the ability to make Decisions so the system runs efficiently and cost effectively. A short but useful historical overview of decision support systems (DSS) is given. The need for new conceptual and advanced models for addressing the challenging issues of CDS is provided. Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) as a new modelling approach is briefly described. An illustrative example is provided along with some very interesting promising results.