Ticari Dışa Açıklık ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi: Türkiye Örneği

Mehmet Eren, Ayşe Ergin-Ünal
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The aim of this study, the relationship between trade openness and economic growth, is to analyze in terms of econometric by utilizing the annual data of the years 1960-2016 for the Turkish economy. For this purpose, the national income ratio of the sum of exports and imports and the real per capita income variables are used in the analysis. Engle-Granger and Gregory-Hansen cointegration tests and the Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality test were used to analyze the relationship between trade openness and economic growth. The results show that a long-run relationship was not found between the variables, and a unidirectional causality relationship was found from economic growth to trade openness.
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本研究的目的是贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系,利用1960-2016年土耳其经济的年度数据进行计量经济学分析。为此,在分析中使用了进出口总额的国民收入比率和实际人均收入变量。采用Engle-Granger和Gregory-Hansen协整检验和Toda-Yamamoto Granger因果检验分析贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,各变量之间不存在长期的因果关系,经济增长与贸易开放之间存在单向的因果关系。
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