Chaotic Analysis on E-government System Development

Yanzhang Wang, Guirong Xiao, Shengju Han
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Abstract

Based on the macro MART model of an organizaion’s informationalization development, and with further application of system dynamics principles, the system dynamics behavior description of MART model and the corresponding calculation method of Jacobian matrix and the characteristic value are offerred. The related balance points or singular points, along with such chaotic features as attractor, saddle point, repulsion point and dissipation, are also analyzed. It is further proved that e-government system development is highly complicated and unstable, the development of information technology does not depend on the e-government system development and the functional level of e-government’s management is the most critical element.
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电子政务系统发展的混沌分析
基于组织信息化发展的宏观MART模型,进一步应用系统动力学原理,给出了MART模型的系统动力学行为描述以及相应的雅可比矩阵和特征值的计算方法。分析了相关的平衡点或奇异点,以及吸引点、鞍点、斥力点和耗散等混沌特征。进一步证明了电子政务系统的发展具有高度的复杂性和不稳定性,信息技术的发展并不依赖于电子政务系统的发展,电子政务管理的功能水平是最关键的因素。
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