Infrastructure in China

Zhigang Li
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Abstract

The recent experience of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) suggests an intertwined relationship between infrastructure investment, urbanization, and economic growth. This chapter analyses infrastructure-related institutions and the interrelation between infrastructure and urbanization. It addresses the following issues: What is the relationship between infrastructure, growth, and urbanization? How efficient have investment and financing been for infrastructure construction? How can we evaluate the performance of infrastructure development? How and to what extent should the government be involved in infrastructure construction? Although the current infrastructure investment system is still distorted by local governments’ incentives and decisions, there is no evidence of overinvestment in infrastructure at the aggregate level. Nevertheless, there is strong evidence that the marginal return to infrastructure investment in the PRC has been rapidly declining. Hence, it is urgent for policymakers to reform the existing system to base their investment decisions on the economic returns to infrastructure.
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中国的基础设施
中华人民共和国最近的经验表明,基础设施投资、城市化和经济增长之间存在着相互交织的关系。本章分析了基础设施相关制度以及基础设施与城市化的相互关系。它解决了以下问题:基础设施、增长和城市化之间的关系是什么?基础设施建设的投融资效率如何?我们如何评估基础设施发展的表现?政府应该如何以及在多大程度上参与基础设施建设?尽管目前的基础设施投资体系仍然受到地方政府激励和决策的扭曲,但没有证据表明总体上存在基础设施过度投资。然而,有强有力的证据表明,中国基础设施投资的边际回报一直在迅速下降。因此,政策制定者迫切需要改革现有制度,使其投资决策基于基础设施的经济回报。
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