The Nature of the Principle of Deterrence in the Nuclear Actions of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Hamid Sarmadi
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Abstract

US foreign policy during the Obama administration, especially in the second term, has focused to resolve its international crises in the Middle East and tried to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue. In the current article, different approaches are brought forth in the field of discerning deterrence mechanisms that are feasible against asymmetric hazards. In the following, the attempts has been made to answer the question of how deterrence can be utilized as a mechanism to face asymmetric threats, and what role can Iran's nuclear program play in deterring countries in power in this process?. Hence, from the analysis of the mentioned model, we will present the main and major assumptions of the current article under four headings: deterrent measures, coercive measures, anti-deployment measures and counter-offensive measures. The tensions between Iran and the West are not the product of Iran's nuclear program, but are based on the religious ideology of the Iranian government and Israel's presence in the region, although the role of some Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia, should not be disregarded. The hypothesis under consideration is that US foreign policy in the Iranian nuclear case has been directed towards the interaction of national interests by following the rational, organizational and bureaucratic model of decision-making models. The result of the research is that think tanks are very determining in leading the US government to the White House foreign policy decision-maker towards Iran, so that diplomacy actors cannot escape it. And public opinion seeks to make Iran's nuclear energy dangerous and to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon as a serious threat to humanity. Though, the Islamic Republic of Iran, with its power to obtain nuclear weapons, does not intend to build a nuclear bomb, nor does it intend to make the world insecure. The power of reaching to a nuclear weapon can play a key and major role for Iran as a deterrent, and Iran intends to use nuclear energy not to build a bomb but to make it peaceful.
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伊朗伊斯兰共和国核行动中威慑原则的性质
奥巴马政府执政期间,特别是第二任期的美国外交政策,重点是解决中东地区的国际危机,并试图解决伊朗核问题。在当前的文章中,提出了不同的方法,在识别的威慑机制,是可行的非对称危害领域。在接下来的文章中,笔者试图回答这样一个问题:威慑如何作为一种机制来面对不对称的威胁,以及在这一过程中,伊朗的核计划在威慑掌权国家方面可以发挥什么作用?因此,通过对上述模型的分析,我们将在四个标题下提出当前文章的主要和主要假设:威慑措施、强制措施、反部署措施和反攻措施。伊朗和西方之间的紧张关系不是伊朗核计划的产物,而是基于伊朗政府的宗教意识形态和以色列在该地区的存在,尽管一些阿拉伯国家,特别是沙特阿拉伯的作用不容忽视。所考虑的假设是,美国在伊朗核问题上的外交政策遵循决策模式中的理性、组织和官僚模式,朝着国家利益的相互作用方向发展。研究结果表明,智库在引导美国政府成为白宫对伊朗外交政策的决策者方面具有很强的决定性,使外交行动者无法逃脱。公众舆论试图使伊朗的核能变得危险,并阻止伊朗获得对人类构成严重威胁的核武器。尽管伊朗伊斯兰共和国拥有获得核武器的能力,但它并不打算制造核弹,也不打算使世界不安全。对伊朗来说,拥有核武器的能力可以作为一种威慑力量发挥关键而重要的作用。伊朗打算利用核能,不是为了制造核弹,而是为了和平目的。
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